As South Africa enters the global spotlight by hosting the G20 Summit in Johannesburg, the country finds itself balancing international prestige with intensifying domestic political speculation. Among the most discussed questions in political circles and social media platforms is whether President Cyril Ramaphosa will remain in office after the summit or whether the growing rumours of his resignation will materialise into reality.
Rumors about President Cyril Ramaphosa’s potential resignation are rising due to internal pressures within the ANC, the timing of the G20 Summit, past controversies, and media speculation. These discussions raise concerns about the stability of the presidency and the ANC party. Factors driving these rumors include factionalism within the ANC, with members appearing to prepare for a future without Ramaphosa ahead of the party’s National General Council later this year. The rumors are also suspiciously timed with the G20 Summit, which raises the possibility that they could be aimed at undermining his administration. The sensitivity of leadership changes is highlighted by Ramaphosa’s government being a Government of National Unity after the 2024 elections. Previous scandals like the Phala Phala affair add to his vulnerabilities, fueling calls for his resignation, while media narratives suggest he may be pushed out.
In response, allies of Ramaphosa are firmly denying the resignation rumors. Bejani Chauke, a special envoy for Ramaphosa, called the speculations “disturbing and unfounded,” asserting they aim to create instability before the G20 Summit. Chauke emphasized that any potential resignation would follow established procedures, not based on rumors. Ramaphosa urged critics to avoid private discussions about his potential departure and stated he is willing to resign if a formal request is made. Support for him comes from various political figures, with Gayton McKenzie warning that pushing Ramaphosa out would be a mistake, citing positive government actions. The ANC’s acting spokesperson, Nonceba Mhlauli, maintained that Ramaphosa is expected to remain in office until at least 2027.
Regardless of his decision, the ongoing speculation has risks, such as undermining investor confidence and creating instability in the ANC, raising concerns about public trust. After the G20 Summit, Ramaphosa is likely to stay in office, but he may consider a gradual exit if political challenges grow. The article outlines four scenarios for his future post-G20, ranging from remaining in office under pressure to a potential negotiated exit or an unlikely immediate resignation. Regardless, the ANC is entering a transition phase and Ramaphosa’s leadership will face critical challenges in the coming months.